Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.053503 0.057585 0.061839 0.066608 0.071809 0.077316 0.083594
2025-12-21 0.045178 0.051070 0.057569 0.065290 0.074242 0.084325 0.096589
2025-12-28 0.040464 0.047617 0.055883 0.066195 0.078786 0.093750 0.113015
2026-01-04 0.036792 0.044761 0.054335 0.066780 0.082663 0.102436 0.129197
2026-01-11 0.033389 0.041763 0.052160 0.066153 0.084704 0.108745 0.142745
2026-01-18 0.030776 0.039440 0.050510 0.065877 0.086952 0.115278 0.156979
2026-01-25 0.028267 0.036993 0.048424 0.064728 0.087769 0.119760 0.168591
2026-02-01 0.025858 0.034467 0.045991 0.062826 0.087262 0.122186 0.177272
2026-02-08 0.023874 0.032358 0.043945 0.061248 0.086992 0.124798 0.186299
2026-02-15 0.022193 0.030546 0.042167 0.059877 0.086844 0.127471 0.195523
2026-02-22 0.021202 0.029637 0.041591 0.060191 0.089188 0.134034 0.211468
2026-03-01 0.019755 0.027973 0.039803 0.058533 0.088322 0.135434 0.218928
2026-03-08 0.018177 0.026052 0.037555 0.056071 0.086081 0.134568 0.222677
2026-03-15 0.017112 0.024842 0.036309 0.055094 0.086164 0.137530 0.233443
2026-03-22 0.016568 0.024386 0.036183 0.055879 0.089188 0.145669 0.254361
2026-03-29 0.015998 0.023856 0.035900 0.056377 0.091746 0.153191 0.274931
2026-04-05 0.015251 0.023003 0.035052 0.055869 0.092511 0.157568 0.289904
2026-04-12 0.014621 0.022301 0.034403 0.055645 0.093737 0.162850 0.307199
2026-04-19 0.013892 0.021401 0.033379 0.054701 0.093585 0.165529 0.319443
2026-04-26 0.013094 0.020350 0.032049 0.053138 0.092174 0.165677 0.326368
2026-05-03 0.012401 0.019440 0.030908 0.051838 0.091156 0.166485 0.334757
2026-05-10 0.011787 0.018630 0.029898 0.050709 0.090371 0.167668 0.344062
2026-05-17 0.011459 0.018287 0.029663 0.050968 0.092258 0.174350 0.366445